Global Central Bank PolicyMonetary Policy

Fed hikes 75bp — largest increase in 28 years

_Economics/__Global Finance

Summary

Facing 8.6% inflation, the Fed raised rates by 75 basis points — the largest single increase since 1994 — surprising markets that had expected 50bp. The decision signalled the Fed was prepared to inflict economic pain to defeat inflation, referencing the Volcker era explicitly.

The rate decision, the CPI data that prompted the larger move, and what more 75bp hikes would mean.

Analysis of whether Powell will follow Volcker's example and maintain high rates until inflation is conclusively defeated.

How this connects

↑ Upstream

Liberation Day tariffs ignite stagflation trap

US–China Strategic Competition

Caused
↑ Upstream

Ukraine war triggers energy supply shock

Russia–Ukraine War

Caused
↑ Upstream

Middle East escalation raises energy risk

Israel–Gaza–Iran War

Caused
↓ Downstream

Rate hike pain drives far-right electoral surge

Western Democratic Fragility

Triggered